(Photo: PTI/Representative Image)
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced that Delhi is expected to experience its first monsoon showers within the next two days.
Despite a slow start, the monsoon has rapidly progressed, already enveloping various regions across the country, including Maharashtra, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, northeast India, West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar, eastern Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, most parts of Himachal Pradesh, and certain areas of Haryana.
Traditionally, the monsoon reaches the capital around June 27, but this year’s arrival is anticipated to be earlier.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has stated that the monsoon is likely to advance further over several regions in the coming days. These regions include Maharashtra (including Mumbai), Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Haryana (including Chandigarh), Delhi, certain parts of Gujarat, eastern Rajasthan, and Punjab.
Historical IMD data reveals that in previous years, the monsoon arrived in Delhi on June 30, 2022, July 13, 2021, June 25, 2020, July 5, 2019, and June 28, 2018. This year, the monsoon reached Kerala on June 8, slightly later than the usual date of June 1.
However, a delay in monsoon onset in Kerala does not necessarily imply a delay in its arrival over northwest India, nor does it impact the overall rainfall across the country during the season. Despite evolving El Niño conditions, the IMD has forecasted normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season in India.
IMD has predicted that northwest India is likely to experience normal to below-normal rainfall during the monsoon season. On the other hand, the east and northeast regions, central India, and the south peninsula can expect normal rainfall, ranging between 94 and 106 percent of the long-period average of 87 centimeters.
The IMD defines rainfall between 96 and 104 percent of the 50-year average as ‘normal.’ Rainfall below 90 percent is categorized as ‘deficient,’ while rainfall between 90 and 95 percent is considered ‘below normal.’ Rainfall between 105 and 110 percent is classified as ‘above normal,’ and anything above 100 percent is categorized as ‘excess’ precipitation.